Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 4.157591 4.456759 4.777360 5.148309 5.568019 6.030966 6.584126
2025-08-31 3.709449 4.128353 4.606250 5.199104 5.925486 6.801319 7.961479
2025-09-07 3.417471 3.896750 4.466578 5.208258 6.170881 7.413406 9.204301
2025-09-14 3.121245 3.615864 4.220260 5.033167 6.132092 7.623583 9.919104
2025-09-21 2.912712 3.418790 4.051496 4.926642 6.152693 7.894153 10.746312
2025-09-28 2.758710 3.275356 3.934443 4.869335 6.222858 8.230220 11.726870
2025-10-05 2.649002 3.179205 3.868670 4.870730 6.369372 8.691791 13.011180
2025-10-12 2.584182 3.135983 3.867920 4.959362 6.649904 9.401142 14.925711
2025-10-19 2.521169 3.089948 3.858010 5.030558 6.907375 10.110031 17.064535
2025-10-26 2.446996 3.023615 3.813905 5.044532 7.070802 10.676971 19.101443
2025-11-02 2.354238 2.926404 3.719193 4.972050 7.079530 10.954606 20.560493
2025-11-09 2.251789 2.810888 3.591594 4.838454 6.968641 10.981068 21.389707
2025-11-16 2.170256 2.724011 3.505113 4.770077 6.976350 11.270476 23.146605
2025-11-23 2.124993 2.686971 3.490593 4.817046 7.198135 12.054686 26.849387
2025-11-30 2.073289 2.637937 3.454786 4.825246 7.347900 12.714334 30.648611
2025-12-07 1.984870 2.531908 3.327078 4.670259 7.169015 12.581685 31.440427
2025-12-14 1.916939 2.453450 3.238224 4.575771 7.099299 12.700606 33.384309
2025-12-21 1.863925 2.394904 3.177292 4.524879 7.110170 13.020258 36.507088
2025-12-28 1.826287 2.357672 3.147682 4.526119 7.226165 13.634681 41.755976
2026-01-04 1.808146 2.348673 3.161717 4.604809 7.511577 14.778540 51.796763
2026-01-11 1.787464 2.334880 3.167144 4.667946 7.771694 15.934720 64.823587
2026-01-18 1.757314 2.305497 3.145891 4.680331 7.921082 16.807518 78.517261
2026-01-25 1.713321 2.253474 3.085591 4.616066 7.889089 17.094431 87.585852